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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2025-2029: CY 2Q25

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ksm 25.06.24

This IDC study provides our updated 2025-2029 forecast for the mobile phone market."Mobile phones sit at the heart of many users' electronic lives, and given their popularity, they are also the target of numerous international trade discussions and tariffs," said Ramon T. Llamas, research director with IDC's Mobile Phones team. "While these developments are ongoing, the potential for higher prices and lower volume can damper demand. However, IDC expects a slow recovery in years to come with volumes growing slightly each year."

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

Market Forecast

  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2024-2029
  • Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
    • Feature Phones
    • Smartphones
  • Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
    • GSM/CDMA
    • UMTS/WCDMA
    • 4G
    • 5G
  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • 5G Handsets
      • Screen Sizes
    • Inhibitors
      • Replacement Cycles
      • Inflation
  • Significant Market Developments
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone

Methodology

  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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